元記事はこちら。
10年での複利リターンを「初期配当利回り」×「成長率(EPSとDPSが同率で成長すると仮定)」でマトリックスにしています。表内のリターンの数値は元本を含みます。(元本が何倍になったかを%表記)
黄色セル:バフェットの目標とする水準(レバレッジ2倍を前提)
青色セル:個人投資家がバフェット同等のリターンを得るために目標とすべき水準(レバレッジなし)
成長率はEPSとDPSが同率で成長するとして計算。PERも10年間不変とした場合の計算であることに注意。
初期配当利回り | ||||||||||||
0.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | ||
成長率 | 0.00% | 100% | 112% | 124% | 138% | 154% | 171% | 190% | 210% | 233% | 258% | 285% |
1.00% | 110% | 123% | 137% | 152% | 169% | 188% | 209% | 231% | 256% | 283% | 312% | |
2.00% | 122% | 136% | 151% | 168% | 186% | 207% | 229% | 253% | 280% | 309% | 342% | |
3.00% | 134% | 150% | 166% | 184% | 205% | 227% | 251% | 278% | 307% | 339% | 373% | |
4.00% | 148% | 165% | 183% | 203% | 225% | 249% | 275% | 304% | 335% | 370% | 408% | |
5.00% | 163% | 181% | 201% | 222% | 246% | 272% | 301% | 332% | 367% | 404% | 445% | |
6.00% | 179% | 199% | 220% | 244% | 270% | 298% | 329% | 363% | 400% | 441% | 485% | |
7.00% | 197% | 218% | 241% | 267% | 295% | 326% | 360% | 397% | 437% | 481% | 529% | |
8.00% | 216% | 239% | 265% | 292% | 323% | 356% | 393% | 433% | 476% | 524% | 576% | |
9.00% | 237% | 262% | 290% | 320% | 353% | 389% | 429% | 472% | 519% | 570% | 626% | |
10.00% | 259% | 287% | 317% | 350% | 386% | 425% | 468% | 514% | 565% | 621% | 681% | |
11.00% | 284% | 314% | 346% | 382% | 421% | 463% | 510% | 560% | 615% | 675% | 740% | |
12.00% | 311% | 343% | 378% | 417% | 459% | 505% | 555% | 609% | 669% | 733% | 804% | |
13.00% | 339% | 374% | 413% | 454% | 500% | 550% | 604% | 663% | 727% | 796% | 872% | |
14.00% | 371% | 409% | 450% | 495% | 544% | 598% | 656% | 720% | 789% | 864% | 945% | |
15.00% | 405% | 446% | 490% | 539% | 592% | 650% | 713% | 782% | 856% | 937% | 1024% | |
16.00% | 441% | 485% | 534% | 587% | 644% | 706% | 774% | 848% | 928% | 1015% | 1109% | |
17.00% | 481% | 529% | 581% | 638% | 700% | 767% | 840% | 920% | 1006% | 1099% | 1201% | |
18.00% | 523% | 575% | 632% | 693% | 760% | 832% | 911% | 997% | 1089% | 1190% | 1299% | |
19.00% | 569% | 625% | 686% | 752% | 824% | 902% | 987% | 1079% | 1179% | 1287% | 1404% | |
20.00% | 619% | 679% | 745% | 816% | 894% | 978% | 1069% | 1168% | 1275% | 1391% | 1516% | |
21.00% | 673% | 738% | 808% | 885% | 969% | 1059% | 1157% | 1263% | 1378% | 1503% | 1637% | |
22.00% | 730% | 801% | 877% | 959% | 1049% | 1146% | 1251% | 1365% | 1489% | 1622% | 1767% | |
23.00% | 793% | 868% | 950% | 1039% | 1135% | 1240% | 1353% | 1475% | 1607% | 1751% | 1905% | |
24.00% | 859% | 941% | 1029% | 1124% | 1228% | 1340% | 1461% | 1593% | 1734% | 1888% | 2053% | |
25.00% | 931% | 1019% | 1113% | 1216% | 1327% | 1448% | 1578% | 1718% | 1870% | 2035% | 2212% | |
26.00% | 1009% | 1102% | 1204% | 1314% | 1434% | 1563% | 1702% | 1853% | 2016% | 2192% | 2381% | |
27.00% | 1092% | 1192% | 1302% | 1420% | 1548% | 1686% | 1836% | 1997% | 2172% | 2359% | 2562% | |
28.00% | 1181% | 1289% | 1406% | 1533% | 1670% | 1818% | 1979% | 2151% | 2338% | 2539% | 2755% | |
29.00% | 1276% | 1392% | 1518% | 1654% | 1801% | 1960% | 2131% | 2316% | 2516% | 2730% | 2962% | |
30.00% | 1379% | 1503% | 1638% | 1784% | 1941% | 2111% | 2295% | 2492% | 2705% | 2935% | 3182% |